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Low Systemic Inflammation Response Index Predicts Good Prognosis in Locally Advanced Pancreatic Carcinoma Patients Treated with Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

Erkan Topkan, Hüseyin Mertsoylu, Ahmet Küçük, Ali Ayberk Beşen, Ahmet Sezer, Duygu Sezen, Yasemin Bölükbaşı, Uğur Selek, Berrin Pehlivan

2020Gastroenterology Research and Practice39 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Background . We investigated the prognostic significance of pretreatment systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in locally advanced pancreatic carcinoma (LAPC) patients treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Methods . Present retrospective cohort analysis investigated consecutive 154 LAPC patients who received radical CRT. The SIRI was defined as: <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M1"><mml:mtext>SIRI</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mtext>neutrophil</mml:mtext><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mtext>monocyte</mml:mtext><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mtext>lymphocyte</mml:mtext><mml:mtext> </mml:mtext><mml:mtext>counts</mml:mtext></mml:math>. Ideal SIRI cutoff(s) influencing overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) results were sought by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The primary endpoint was the interaction between the SIRI and OS results. Results . The median follow-up, PFS, and OS durations were 14.3 (range: 2.9-74.6), 7.9 [%95 confidence interval (CI): 5.7-10.1), and 14.7 months (%95 CI: 11.4-18.0) for the entire cohort, respectively. ROC curve analyses determined the ideal SIRI cutoff that exhibiting a significant link with OS and PFS outcomes at the rounded 1.6 point (AUC: 74.3%; sensitivity: 73.8%; specificity: 70.1%).The SIRI &lt;1.6 patients (<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M2"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>58</mml:mn></mml:math>) had significantly superior median PFS (13.8 versus 6.7 months; <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M3"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.001</mml:mn></mml:math>) and OS (28.6 versus 12.6 months; <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M4"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.001</mml:mn></mml:math>) lengths than SIRI ≥1.6 patients (<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M5"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>96</mml:mn></mml:math>), respectively. Although the N0 (versus N1; <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M6"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.05</mml:mn></mml:math>) and CA 19-9 ≤90 U/mL (versus &gt;90 U/mL) appeared as the other significant associates of better OS and PFS in univariate analyses, yet the results of multivariate analyses confirmed the SIRI &lt;1.6 as the independent indicator of superior OS and PFS (<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M7"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.001</mml:mn></mml:math> for each). Conclusion . Pretreatment SIRI is a novel independent prognosticator that may further enhance the conventional tumor-node-metastases staging system in a more precise prediction of the OS and PFS outcomes of LAPC patients after radical CRT.

Topics & Concepts

MedicineReceiver operating characteristicConfidence intervalAlgorithmInternal medicineArea under the curveCutoffGastroenterologyMathematicsQuantum mechanicsPhysicsInflammatory Biomarkers in Disease PrognosisCancer Immunotherapy and BiomarkersPancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research