Survival Improvements in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Sequential Therapy by Era
Yoshiko Nakamura, Masashi Hirooka, Atsushi Hiraoka, Yohei Koizumi, Ryo Yano, Makoto Morita, Yuki Okazaki, Yusuke Imai, Hideko Ohama, Kana Hirooka, Takao Watanabe, Fujimasa Tada, Osamu Yoshida, Yoshio Tokumoto, Masanori Abe, Yoichi Hiasa
Abstract
Treatment modalities for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have changed dramatically, with systemic therapy as the primary option. However, the effect of sequential treatment on prognosis remains unclear. This retrospective study included patients who began systemic therapy between 2009 and 2022. The patients were separated into three groups according to systemic therapy commencement. The number of therapy lines, treatment efficacy, and overall survival (OS) were compared. Multivariate analyses of the prognostic factors were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Overall, 336 patients were included (period 1: 2009–2013, n = 86; period 2: 2014–2018, n = 132; period 3: 2019–2022, n = 118). A significant etiological trend was observed with decreasing viral hepatitis-related HCC and increasing non-viral hepatitis-related HCC. Across periods 1–3, the proportion of patients who were administered >2 lines progressively increased (1.2%, 12.9%, and 17.0%, respectively; p < 0.001) and the median OS was significantly prolonged (14.3, 16.8, and 31.0 months; p < 0.001). The use of <3 lines, the non-complete and partial response of the first line, modified albumin–bilirubin at grade 2b or 3, an intrahepatic tumor number ≥ 5, extrahepatic metastasis, and alpha-fetoprotein at ≥400 ng/mL were the strongest factors associated with shorter OS. Sequential therapies have contributed to significant improvements in HCC prognosis, suggesting that sequential treatment post-progression is worthwhile for better survival.