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The Discrete Type-II Half-Logistic Exponential Distribution with Applications to COVID-19 Data

Muhammad Ahsan ul Haq, Ayesha Babar, Sharqa Hashmi, Abdulaziz S. Alghamdi, Ahmed Z. Afify

2021Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research17 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

We propose a new two-parameter discrete model, called discrete Type-II half-logistics exponential (DTIIHLE) distribution using the survival discretization approach. The DTIIHLE distribution can be utilized to model COVID-19 data. The model parameters are estimated using the maximum likelihood method. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators. The usefulness of the proposed distribution is evaluated using two real-life COVID-19 data sets. The DTIIHLE distribution provides a superior fit to COVID-19 data as compared with competitive discrete models including the discrete-Pareto, discrete Burr-XII, discrete log-logistic, discrete-Lindley, discrete-Rayleigh, discrete inverse-Rayleigh, and natural discrete-Lindley.

Topics & Concepts

MathematicsDiscrete time and continuous timeExponential familyDiscretizationPareto distributionEstimatorApplied mathematicsDiscrete modellingDistribution (mathematics)Type (biology)StatisticsRayleigh distributionDiscrete systemAlgorithmMathematical analysisProbability density functionBiologyEcologyStatistical Distribution Estimation and ApplicationsBayesian Methods and Mixture ModelsCOVID-19 epidemiological studies