The association of premorbid conditions with 6-month mortality in acutely admitted ICU patients over 80 years
Dylan W. de Lange, Ivo W. Soliman, Susannah Leaver, Ariane Boumendil, Lenneke Haas, Ximena Watson, C. Boulanger, Wojciech Szczeklik, Antonio Artigas, Alessandro Morandi, Finn H. Andersen, Christian Jung, Rui P. Moreno, Sten Walther, Sandra Oeyen, Joerg C. Schefold, Maurizio Cecconi, Brian Marsh, Michael Joannidis, Yuriy Nalapko, Muhammed Elhadi, Jesper Fjølner, Bertrand Guidet, Hans Flaatten, Philipp Eller, Raimund Helbok, René Schmutz, Joke Nollet, Nikolaas de Neve, Pieter De Buysscher, Walter Swinnen, Marijana Mikačić, Anders Bastiansen, Andreas Husted, Bård E S Dahle, Christine Cramer, Christoffer Sølling, Dorthe Ørsnes Christensen, Jakob Edelberg Thomsen, Jonas Juul Pedersen, Mathilde Hummelmose Enevoldsen, Thomas Elkmann, Agnieszka Kubisz-Pudelko, Alan Pope, Amy Collins, Ashok S Raj, Carole Boulanger, Christian Frey, Ciaran Hart, Clare Bolger, Dominic Spray, Georgina Randell, Helder Filipe, Ingeborg D Welters, Irina Grecu, Jane Evans, Jason Cupitt, Jenny Lord, Jeremy Henning, Joanne Jones, Jonathan Ball, Julie North, Kiran Salaunkey, Laura Ortiz-Ruiz De Gordoa, Louise Bell, Madhu Balasubramaniam, Marcela Vizcaychipi, Maria Faulkner, McDonald Mupudzi, Megan Lea-Hagerty, Michael Reay, Michael Spivey, Nicholas Love, Nick Spittle, Nick Spittle, Nigel White, Patricia Williams, Patrick Morgan, Phillipa Wakefield, Rachel Savine, Reni Jacob, Richard Innes, Ritoo Kapoor, Sally Humphreys, Steve Rose, Susan Dowling, Tarkeshwari Mane, Tom Lawton, Vongayi Ogbeide, Waqas Khaliq, Yolanda Baird, Antoine Romen, Arnaud Galbois, Christophe Vinsonneau, Cyril Charron, Didier Thevenin, Emmanuel Guerot, Guillaume Besch, Guillaume Savary, Hervé Mentec
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Premorbid conditions influence the outcome of acutely ill adult patients aged 80 years and over who are admitted to the ICU. The aim of this study was to determine the influence of such premorbid conditions on 6 month survival. METHODS: Prospective cohort study in 242 ICUs from 22 countries including patients 80 years or above, admitted over a 6 months period to an ICU between May 2018 and May 2019. Only emergency (acute) ICU admissions in adult patients ≥ 80 years of age were eligible. Patients who were admitted after planned/elective surgery were excluded. We measured the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), the Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly (IQCODE), disability with the Katz activities of daily living (ADL) score, comorbidities and a Polypharmacy Score (CPS). RESULTS: Overall, the VIP2 study included 3920 patients. During ICU stay 1191 patients died (30.9%), and another 436 patients (11.1%) died after ICU discharge but within the first 30 days of admission, and an additional 895 patients died hereafter but within the first 6 months after admission (22.8%). The 6 months mortality was 64%. The median CFS was 4 (IQR 3-6). Frailty (CFS ≥ 5) was present in 26.6%. Cognitive decline (IQCODE above 3.5) was found in 30.2%. The median IQCODE was 3.19. A Katz ADL of 4 or less was present in 27.7%. Patients who surviving > 6 months were slightly younger (median age survivors 84 with IQR 81-86) than patients dying within the first 6 months (median age 84, IQR 82-87, p = 0.013), were less frequently frail (CFS > 5 in 19% versus 34%, p < 0.01) and were less dependent based on their Katz activities of daily living measurement (median Katz score 6, IQR 5-6 versus 6 points, IQR 3-6, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: We found that Clinical Frailty Scale, age, and SOFA at admission were independent prognostic factors for 6 month mortality after ICU admission in patients age 80 and above. Adding other geriatric syndromes and scores did not improve the model. This information can be used in shared-decision making. CLINICALTRIALS: gov: NCT03370692.