DL<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" altimg="si199.svg" display="inline" id="d1e1642"><mml:msup><mml:mrow/><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math>F: A Deep Learning model for the Local Forecasting of renewable sources
Luciano Caroprese, Mariano Pierantozzi, Camilla Lops, Sergio Montelpare
Abstract
This work presents the first version of DL2F, a powerful Deep Learning model specifically designed to forecast four essential weather variables that influence solar power potential: Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), temperature, atmospheric pressure, and relative humidity. The model uses a time series for each variable as input and the forecast provided by the well-known Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model (MM5) system. Then, it generates new predictions for each variable and the subsequent 3 days. The suggested approach improves the MM5 system’s accuracy, effectively mitigating its tendency to misestimate real data in some specific seasons. In essence, DL2F is a regressor able to refine the forecasts generated by the MM5 system and improve its overall precision. The model’s architecture is based on a set of recurrent neural networks of the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) type.