Estimation of transportation energy demand of the Philippines using a bottom-up approach
Karl B.N. Vergel, Kelvin Ryan S. Marcelo, Arse John P. Salison, Felix Nathaniel M. Elamparo, Valerie Anne L. Saavedra, Kathrina P. Villedo, Nonalu Sherida A. Abao, Abby O. Gonzales, Jose Regin F. Regidor, Ernesto B. Abaya
Abstract
In the years 2000–2016, the sector with the largest share of total final energy consumption in the Philippines is transportation with an average share of 34.2%. The study aims to estimate the baseline transportation energy demand of road, maritime, air and rail transportation modes in 2016 using a bottom-up approach. Through a bottom-up approach and utilizing available transportation activity and fuel economy/energy efficiency data from secondary sources coupled with primary road transportation activity and fuel economy and railway operations survey data, the baseline transportation energy demand of the Philippines is estimated to be 12,956.1 ktoe in 2016. A comprehensive estimation of transportation energy demand of the country using bottom-up methodologies with more detailed transportation activity and vehicle fleet of the different transportation modes is implemented. Finally, the collection and keeping of certain data that are critical in the estimation of the transportation energy demand are recommended.