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Prehospital Point-Of-Care Lactate Increases the Prognostic Accuracy of National Early Warning Score 2 for Early Risk Stratification of Mortality: Results of a Multicenter, Observational Study

Francisco Martín‐Rodriguez, Raúl López‐Izquierdo, Juan F. Delgado Benito, Ancor Sanz‐García, Carlos del Pozo Vegas, Miguel Á. Castro Villamor, José L. Martín‐Conty, Guillermo J. Ortega

2020Journal of Clinical Medicine26 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

The objective of this study was to assess whether the use of prehospital lactate (pLA) can increase the prognostic accuracy of the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to detect the risk of death within 48 h. A prospective, multicenter study in adults treated consecutively by the emergency medical services (EMS) included six advanced life support (ALS) services and five hospitals. Patients were assigned to one of four groups according to their risk of mortality (low, low-medium, medium, and high), as determined by the NEWS2 score. For each group, the validity of pLA in our cohort was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. In this study, 3081 participants with a median age of 69 years (Interquartile range (IQR): 54–81) were included. The two-day mortality was 4.4% (137 cases). The scale derived from the implementation of the pLA improved the capacity of the NEWS2 to discriminate low risk of mortality, with an AUC of 0.910 (95% CI: 0.87–0.94; p < 0.001). The risk stratification provided by the NEWS2 can be improved by incorporating pLA measurement to more accurately predict the risk of mortality in patients with low risk.

Topics & Concepts

MedicineEarly warning scoreInterquartile rangeReceiver operating characteristicEmergency medicineRisk stratificationObservational studyRisk assessmentProspective cohort studyArea under the curveFramingham Risk ScoreCohort studyInternal medicineCohortDiseaseComputer securityComputer scienceEmergency and Acute Care StudiesSepsis Diagnosis and TreatmentTrauma and Emergency Care Studies
Prehospital Point-Of-Care Lactate Increases the Prognostic Accuracy of National Early Warning Score 2 for Early Risk Stratification of Mortality: Results of a Multicenter, Observational Study | Litcius