Plasma amyloid-β42/40 and apolipoprotein E for amyloid PET pre-screening in secondary prevention trials of Alzheimer’s disease
Nicholas Cullen, Shorena Janelidze, Erik Stomrud, Randall J. Bateman, Sebastian Palmqvist, Oskar Hansson, Niklas Mattsson
Abstract
Abstract The extent to which newly developed blood-based biomarkers could reduce screening costs in secondary prevention trials of Alzheimer’s disease is mostly unexplored. We collected plasma amyloid-β42/40, apolipoprotein E ε4 status and amyloid PET at baseline in 181 cognitively unimpaired participants [the age of 72.9 (5.3) years; 61.9% female; education of 11.9 (3.4) years] from the Swedish BioFINDER-1 study. We tested whether a model predicting amyloid PET status from plasma amyloid-β42/40, apolipoprotein E status and age (combined) reduced cost of recruiting amyloid PET + cognitively unimpaired participants into a theoretical trial. We found that the percentage of cognitively unimpaired participants with an amyloid PET + scan rose from 29% in an unscreened population to 64% [(49, 79); P < 0.0001] when using the biomarker model to screen for high risk for amyloid PET + status. In simulations, plasma screening also resulted in a 54% reduction of the total number of amyloid PET scans required and reduced total recruitment costs by 43% [(31, 56), P < 0.001] compared to no pre-screening when assuming a 16× PET-to-plasma cost ratio. Total savings remained significant when the PET-to-plasma cost ratio was assumed to be 8× or 4×. This suggests that a simple plasma biomarker model could lower recruitment costs in Alzheimer’s trials requiring amyloid PET positivity for inclusion.