Temporal Convolutional Neural Networks for Solar Power Forecasting
Yang Lin, Irena Koprinska, Mashud Rana
Abstract
We investigate the application of Temporal Convolutional Neural Networks (TCNNs) for solar power forecasting. TCNN is a novel convolutional architecture designed for sequential modelling, which combines causal and dilated convolutions and residual connections. We compare the performance of TCNN with multi-layer feedforward neural networks, and also with recurrent networks, including the state-of-the-art LSTM and GRU recurrent networks. The evaluation is conducted on two Australian datasets containing historical solar and weather data, and weather forecast data for future days. Our results show that TCNN outperformed the other models in terms of accuracy and was able to maintain a longer effective history compared to the recurrent networks. This highlights the potential of convolutional architectures for solar power forecasting tasks.