Simplicity lacks robustness when projecting heat-health outcomes in a changing climate
Jennifer Vanos, Jane W. Baldwin, Ollie Jay, Kristie L. Ebi
Abstract
Extreme heat adversely affects human health, productivity, and well-being, with more frequent and intense heatwaves projected to increase exposures. However, current risk projections oversimplify critical inter-individual factors of human thermoregulation, resulting in unreliable and unrealistic estimates of future adverse health outcomes.
Topics & Concepts
Robustness (evolution)Human healthHeat stressSimplicityProductivityClimate changeThermoregulationExtreme heatEnvironmental scienceRisk analysis (engineering)Environmental healthEcologyBiologyMedicineEconomicsPhysicsBiochemistryAnimal scienceQuantum mechanicsGeneMacroeconomicsClimate Change and Health ImpactsThermoregulation and physiological responsesAir Quality and Health Impacts