The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients
Andrei-Costin Chelariu, Adorata Elena Coman, Cătălina Lionte, Victoria Gorciac, Victorița Șorodoc, Raluca Ecaterina Haliga, Ovidiu Rusalim Petriș, Cristina Bologa, Gabriela Puha, Alexandra Stoica, Mihai Constantin, Oana Sîrbu, Alexandr Ceasovschih, Laurențiu Șorodoc
Abstract
Background: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has put a constant strain on hospital resources, so there is a dire need for investigation methods that are widely available and that can predict mortality and the need for critical care. Hematological indices, which can be easily calculated from a complete blood count (CBC), are useful in determining a patient’s inflammatory response to infectious diseases. Aim: This was a prospective cohort study that aimed to assess the prognostic value of scores based on CBCs in hospitalized patients with mild or moderate COVID-19 and medical comorbidities regarding the need for intensive care unit (ICU) therapy and short-term mortality. Methods: We included 607 patients with confirmed COVID-19, followed up for the need for ICU admission (15.5%) and 30 day mortality post-discharge (21.7%). CBC-derived scores were tested upon emergency department (ED) admission and after a median of 8 days. Results: In a multivariate model, elevated followed-up neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) predicted increased odds for ICU admission (OR: 1.14 [95%CI: 1.06−1.22], p < 0.001) and short-term mortality (OR: 1.30 [95%CI: 1.09−1.57], p = 0.005). Monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) predicted 2.5-fold increased odds for ICU admission and 2.2-fold increased odds for mortality. Conclusion: NLR and MLR followed up 8 days post-admission are predictive for adverse outcomes in mild or moderate COVID-19 patients.