A Scenario-Based Evaluation of Global Urban Air Mobility Demand
Akshay Anand, Harleen Kaur, Cedric Y. Justin, Turab Zaidi, Dimitri N. Mavris
Abstract
View Video Presentation: https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2021-1516.vid Urban Air Mobility (UAM) is an emerging aviation market with the capability to offer dramatic societal improvements to the way people move and commute in urban areas, including reductions in commuting time, emissions, and traffic accidents. An understanding of the potential demand for UAM services is crucial for stakeholders to ensure that the supporting infrastructure is ready and does not hinder the introduction of these services. In a previous study, the authors developed a top-down methodology for evaluating the demand for global UAM networks by estimating the travelers’ willingness to pay for services and estimating the potential volume of UAM traffic. The methodology was implemented in that study for a subset of 31 cities distributed across the world in 2035. This paper seeks to expand the scope of the previous study to quantify global UAM demand for 542 of the top global cities in an extended time frame from 2035 up to 2050. Additionally, this study employs a scenario-based forecasting approach to capture long-term market demand based on low and high penetration levels for UAM services.