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Improving Hydrological Models With the Assimilation of Crowdsourced Data

Pedro Avellaneda, Darren L. Ficklin, Christopher S. Lowry, Jason H. Knouft, Damon M. Hall

2020Water Resources Research43 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Abstract Small streams often lack reliable hydrological data. Environmental agencies play a key role in providing such data; however, these agencies are often challenged by the growing monitoring needs and lack of funding. Given the spatial mismatch between observed data and small watersheds/headwaters, local volunteers can act as potentially valuable research partners. We examine how CrowdHydrology, a citizen science program that collects stream stage and stream temperature observations, improves a hydrologic model of the Boyne River, Michigan, USA. Volunteers provided observations at four calibration sites with different interarrival times of the observations. We tested whether stream stage and stream temperature observations (measured by volunteers) improved the performance of a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model of the Boyne River. Observations were integrated into the model using the ensemble Kalman filter. This framework allowed us to integrate observation error, track the variability of model parameters, and simulate daily streamflow and stream temperature across the watershed. Measures of daily model performance included the Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency, modified Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency ( E f‐mod ), refined index of agreement ( d r ), and relative bias ( Bias ). For all calibration sites, estimates of streamflow improved after data assimilation compared to simulations based on initial/default SWAT parameters. Different measures of model performance emerged based on the interarrival times of the observations. Results demonstrate that observations collected by local volunteers, with a certain temporal resolution, can improve SWAT hydrological models and capture central tendency.

Topics & Concepts

StreamflowEnvironmental scienceSoil and Water Assessment ToolData assimilationSWAT modelWatershedEnsemble Kalman filterSTREAMSCalibrationHydrology (agriculture)Hydrological modellingClimatologyMeteorologyKalman filterComputer scienceStatisticsDrainage basinGeographyCartographyMathematicsGeologyMachine learningEngineeringExtended Kalman filterComputer networkGeotechnical engineeringHydrology and Watershed Management StudiesFlood Risk Assessment and ManagementHydrological Forecasting Using AI