Optimal Control of Fractional Order COVID-19 Epidemic Spreading in Japan and India 2020
Meghadri Das, G. P. Samanta
Abstract
In Japan, the first case of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was reported on 15th January 2020. In India, on 30th January 2020, the first case of COVID-19 in India was reported in Kerala and the number of reported cases has increased rapidly. The main purpose of this work is to study numerically the epidemic peak for COVID-19 disease along with transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Japan and India 2020. Taking into account the uncertainty due to the incomplete information about the coronavirus (COVID-19), we have taken the Susceptible-Asymptomatic-Infectious-Recovered (SAIR) compartmental model under fractional order framework for our study. We have also studied the effects of fractional order along with other parameters in transfer dynamics and epidemic peak control for both the countries. An optimal control problem has been studied by controlling social distancing parameter.