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Electricity Consumption Forecast of High-Rise Office Buildings Based on the Long Short-Term Memory Method

Xiaoyu Lin, Hang Yu, Meng Wang, Chaoen Li, Zi Wang, Yin Tang

2021Energies27 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Various algorithms predominantly use data-driven methods for forecasting building electricity consumption. Among them, algorithms that use deep learning methods and, long and short-term memory (LSTM) have shown strong prediction accuracy in numerous fields. However, the LSTM algorithm still has certain limitations, e.g., the accuracy of forecasting the building air conditioning power consumption was not very high. To explore ways of improving the prediction accuracy, this study selects a high-rise office building in Shanghai to predict the air conditioning power consumption and lighting power consumption, respectively and discusses the influence of weather parameters and schedule parameters on the prediction accuracy. The results demonstrate that using the LSTM algorithm to accurately predict the electricity consumption of air conditioners is more challenging than predicting lighting electricity consumption. To improve the prediction accuracy of air conditioning power consumption, two parameters, relative humidity, and scheduling, must be added to the prediction model.

Topics & Concepts

Air conditioningElectricityPower consumptionConsumption (sociology)Computer scienceTerm (time)ScheduleScheduling (production processes)Energy consumptionPower (physics)EngineeringOperations managementElectrical engineeringSociologyOperating systemSocial scienceQuantum mechanicsMechanical engineeringPhysicsBuilding Energy and Comfort OptimizationEnergy Load and Power ForecastingWind and Air Flow Studies