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Which Virus Will Cause the Next Pandemic?

Gabriele Neumann, Yoshihiro Kawaoka

2023Viruses48 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

One of the most pressing and consequential problems in infectious disease research is to better understand the potential of viruses to cause a pandemic, or, in simple terms, determine which virus will cause the next pandemic. We here define pandemics as WHO-declared pandemics, or disease outbreaks commonly referred to as pandemics that predate the WHO pandemic framework. Despite extensive research in the field of infectious diseases in recent decades, all pandemics have found us unprepared, with enormous losses of human lives, tremendous costs for public health, and vast and potentially long-lasting economic losses. Here, we discuss viruses that may cause a pandemic in the future.

Topics & Concepts

PandemicOutbreakInfectious disease (medical specialty)Public healthDiseaseVirologyCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)BiologyMedicineNursingPathologyZoonotic diseases and public healthCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesViral Infections and Vectors