Economic Dispatch Model of High Proportional New Energy Grid-Connected Consumption Considering Source Load Uncertainty
Min Xu, Wanwei Li, Zhihui Feng, Wangwang Bai, Lingling Jia, Zhanhong Wei
Abstract
To solve the problem regarding the large-scale grid-connected consumption of a high proportion of new energy sources, a concentrating solar power (CSP)-photovoltaic (PV)-wind power day-ahead and intraday-coordinated optimal dispatching method considering source load uncertainty is proposed. First, the uncertainty of day-ahead wind power output prediction is described by the multi-scenario stochastic planning method, and the uncertainty of intraday source-load is characterized by the trapezoidal fuzzy number equivalence model. Second, based on the combined scenario set of day-ahead wind power output prediction, the day-ahead optimal dispatch is performed by combining thermal and CSP plants, and the day-ahead thermal and CSP plant dispatch output and intraday source load fuzzy dataset are used as the input quantities for the day-ahead dispatch. Thus, the scheduling output and rotating backup plan for thermal power and CSP plants were determined; finally, the validity and feasibility of the model were verified using arithmetic examples.