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Forecasting of Power Demands Using Deep Learning

Tae‐Hyung Kang, Dae Yeong Lim, Hilal Tayara, Kil To Chong

2020Applied Sciences37 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

The forecasting of electricity demands is important for planning for power generator sector improvement and preparing for periodical operations. The prediction of future electricity demand is a challenging task due to the complexity of the available demand patterns. In this paper, we studied the performance of the basic deep learning models for electrical power forecasting such as the facility capacity, supply capacity, and power consumption. We designed different deep learning models such as convolution neural network (CNN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and a hybrid model that combines both CNN and RNN. We applied these models to the data provided by the Korea Power Exchange. This data contains the daily recordings of facility capacity, supply capacity, and power consumption. The experimental results showed that the CNN model outperforms the other two models significantly for the three features forecasting (facility capacity, supply capacity, and power consumption).

Topics & Concepts

Computer scienceDeep learningRecurrent neural networkDemand forecastingArtificial intelligenceElectricityConsumption (sociology)Capacity planningGenerator (circuit theory)Convolutional neural networkPower consumptionPower (physics)Artificial neural networkMachine learningOperations researchEngineeringElectrical engineeringOperating systemPhysicsSocial scienceSociologyQuantum mechanicsEnergy Load and Power ForecastingForecasting Techniques and ApplicationsTraffic Prediction and Management Techniques