Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data
Sasan Faridi, Reza Bayat, Aaron Cohen, Ensieh Sharafkhani, Jeffrey R. Brook, Sadegh Niazi, Mansour Shamsipour, Heresh Amini, Kazem Naddafi, Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand
Abstract
Abstract We estimated mortality and economic loss attributable to PM 2·5 air pollution exposure in 429 counties of Iran in 2018. Ambient PM 2.5 -related deaths were estimated using the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM). According to the ground-monitored and satellite-based PM 2.5 data, the annual mean population-weighted PM 2·5 concentrations for Iran were 30.1 and 38.6 μg m −3 , respectively. We estimated that long-term exposure to ambient PM 2.5 contributed to 49,303 (95% confidence interval (CI) 40,914–57,379) deaths in adults ≥ 25 yr. from all-natural causes based on ground monitored data and 58,873 (95% CI 49,024–68,287) deaths using satellite-based models for PM 2.5 . The crude death rate and the age-standardized death rate per 100,000 population for age group ≥ 25 year due to ground-monitored PM 2.5 data versus satellite-based exposure estimates was 97 (95% CI 81–113) versus 116 (95% CI 97–135) and 125 (95% CI 104–145) versus 149 (95% CI 124–173), respectively. For ground-monitored and satellite-based PM 2.5 data, the economic loss attributable to ambient PM 2.5 -total mortality was approximately 10,713 (95% CI 8890–12,467) and 12,792.1 (95% CI 10,652.0–14,837.6) million USD, equivalent to nearly 3.7% (95% CI 3.06–4.29) and 4.3% (95% CI 3.6–4.5.0) of the total gross domestic product in Iran in 2018.