Economic evaluation of PCV21 in vaccine-naïve adults aged 19–64 years with underlying medical conditions in the United States
Zinan Yi, Elamin H. Elbasha, Kwame Owusu‐Edusei
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to estimate the incremental health and economic outcomes associated with the use of PCV21 (Capvaxive) in vaccine-naive adults aged 19-64 years with underlying medical conditions in the United States (US). METHODS: A static multi-cohort state-transition Markov model was utilized, drawing on data from published literature and publicly available databases and reports, comparing PCV21 (intervention) versus PCV20 or PCV15 + PPSV23 (comparator) from a societal perspective with a lifetime horizon. The target population consisted of vaccine-naive adults aged 19-64 years classified as at-risk (AR) or high-risk (HR). Key outcome measures included undiscounted clinical cases: invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), inpatient and outpatient non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP), post-meningitis sequelae (PMS), deaths from IPD and inpatient NBPP, as well as discounted quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and total costs (in 2023 USD), with the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) reported as $/QALY gained. Costs and QALYs were discounted at 3% per year. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The analysis indicated that the V116 strategy prevented a substantial number of cases and deaths compared to the PCV20 or PCV15 + PPSV23 strategies among vaccine-naive AR/HR adults aged 19-49 and 50-64 years. For instance, the use of PCV21 was projected to reduce IPD cases by 1,450 and 4,232, respectively, in the two age groups when compared with PCV20. The estimated ICERs for both age groups were found to be cost-saving when compared to both PCV20 and PCV15 + PPSV23. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings, with over 95% of simulations yielding cost-saving results and all estimated ICERs remaining below $10,000/QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that the use of PCV21 (Capvaxive) in adults aged 19-64 years with underlying medical conditions in the US can prevent a significant number of pneumococcal disease cases and deaths while demonstrating favorable economic outcomes across various scenarios.