The impact of cyclones on local economic growth: Evidence from local projections
Costanza Naguib, Martino Pelli, D. R. Poirier, Jeanne Tschopp
Abstract
We shed new light on the short-term dynamic effects of cyclones on local economic growth in India. We proxy local GDP growth with night-time light intensity data and construct a cyclone index that varies across months and districts depending on wind speed exposures. Using local projections on highly granular data for the period 1993M1-2011M12, we find that yearly estimations hide large short-term differential impacts and that the negative impact of cyclones is the largest between 4 and 8 months after the event.
Topics & Concepts
Cyclone (programming language)Term (time)ClimatologyDifferential (mechanical device)Proxy (statistics)Environmental scienceMeteorologyTropical cycloneGeographyIndex (typography)StatisticsMathematicsGeologyComputer scienceEngineeringAerospace engineeringWorld Wide WebField-programmable gate arrayComputer hardwareQuantum mechanicsPhysicsTropical and Extratropical Cyclones ResearchImpact of Light on Environment and HealthClimate Change, Adaptation, Migration