Data-driven risk stratification and precision management of pulmonary nodules detected on chest computed tomography
Chengdi Wang, Jun Shao, Yichu He, Jiaojiao Wu, Xingting Liu, Liuqing Yang, Ying Wei, Xiang Sean Zhou, Yiqiang Zhan, Feng Shi, Dinggang Shen, Weimin Li
Abstract
The widespread implementation of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) in lung cancer screening has led to the increasing detection of pulmonary nodules. However, precisely evaluating the malignancy risk of pulmonary nodules remains a formidable challenge. Here we propose a triage-driven Chinese Lung Nodules Reporting and Data System (C-Lung-RADS) utilizing a medical checkup cohort of 45,064 cases. The system was operated in a stepwise fashion, initially distinguishing low-, mid-, high- and extremely high-risk nodules based on their size and density. Subsequently, it progressively integrated imaging information, demographic characteristics and follow-up data to pinpoint suspicious malignant nodules and refine the risk scale. The multidimensional system achieved a state-of-the-art performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.918 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.918-0.919) on the internal testing dataset, outperforming the single-dimensional approach (AUC of 0.881, 95% CI 0.880-0.882). Moreover, C-Lung-RADS exhibited a superior sensitivity compared with Lung-RADS v2022 (87.1% versus 63.3%) in an independent cohort, which was screened using mobile computed tomography scanners to broaden screening accessibility in resource-constrained settings. With its foundation in precise risk stratification and tailored management, this system has minimized unnecessary invasive procedures for low-risk cases and recommended prompt intervention for extremely high-risk nodules to avert diagnostic delays. This approach has the potential to enhance the decision-making paradigm and facilitate a more efficient diagnosis of lung cancer during routine checkups as well as screening scenarios.