Recent and Forecasted Increases in Coccidioidomycosis Incidence Linked to Hydroclimatic Swings, California, USA
Simon K. Camponuri, Alexandra K. Heaney, Gail Sondermeyer-Cooksey, Duc J. Vugia, Seema Jain, Daniel L. Swain, John R. Balmes, Justin V. Remais, Jennifer R. Head
Abstract
In 2023, California reported near-record high coccidioidomycosis cases after a dramatic transition from drought to heavy precipitation. Using an ensemble model, we forecasted 12,244 cases statewide during April 1, 2024-March 31, 2025, a 62% increase over cases reported 2 years before and on par with case counts for 2023.
Topics & Concepts
Incidence (geometry)ClimatologyMedicineGeographyGeologyPhysicsOpticsFungal Infections and StudiesPlant Pathogens and ResistancePhytoplasmas and Hemiptera pathogens