Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality
Nick Wilson, Amanda Kvalsvig, Lucy Telfar-Barnard, Michael G. Baker
Abstract
We estimated the case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%-3.0% probably should be considered.
Topics & Concepts
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Case fatality rate2019-20 coronavirus outbreakSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Time lagLagLag timeDistributed lagMedicineVirologyStatisticsDemographyEnvironmental healthBiologyMathematicsComputer scienceInternal medicineOutbreakPopulationSociologyDiseaseInfectious disease (medical specialty)Biological systemComputer networkCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesDisaster Response and ManagementHealth Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life