Tumor Mutational Burden From Circulating Tumor DNA Predicts Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Resection
Chase J. Wehrle, Hanna Hong, Suneel D. Kamath, Andrea Schlegel, Masato Fujiki, Koji Hashimoto, Choon Hyuck David Kwon, Charles C. Miller, R. Matthew Walsh, Federico Aucejo
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Describe the utility of circulating tumor DNA in the postoperative surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). BACKGROUND: Current biomarkers for HCC like alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) are lacking. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has shown promise in colorectal and lung cancers, but its utility in HCC remains relatively unknown. METHODS: Patients with HCC undergoing curative-intent resection from November 1, 2020, to July 1, 2023, received ctDNA testing using the Guardant360 platform. Tumor mutational burden (TMB) is calculated as the number of somatic mutations-per-megabase of genomic material identified. RESULTS: Forty-seven patients had postoperative ctDNA testing. The mean follow-up was 27 months, and the maximum was 43.2 months. Twelve patients (26%) experienced recurrence. Most (n=41/47, 87.2%) had identifiable ctDNA postoperatively; 55.3% (n=26) were TMB-not detected versus 45.7% (n=21) TMB-detectable. Postoperative identifiable ctDNA was not associated with RFS ( P =0.518). Detectable TMB was associated with reduced RFS (6.9 vs 14.7 mo, P =0.049). There was a higher rate of recurrence in patients with TMB (n=9/21, 42.9%, vs n=3/26, 11.5%, P =0.02). Area under the curve for TMB-prediction of recurrence was 0.752 versus 0.550 for AFP. ROC analysis established a TMB cutoff of 4.8mut/mB for predicting post-operative recurrence ( P =0.002) and RFS ( P =0.025). AFP was not correlated with RFS using the lab-normal cutoff (<11 ng/mL, P =0.682) or the cutoff established by ROC analysis (≥4.6 ng/mL, P =0.494). TMB-high was associated with poorer RFS on cox-regression analysis (hazard ratio=5.386, 95% CI: 1.109-26.160, P =0.037), while microvascular invasion ( P =0.853) and AFP ( P =0.439) were not. CONCLUSIONS: Identifiable TMB on postoperative ctDNA predicts HCC recurrence and outperformed AFP in this cohort. Perioperative ctDNA may be a useful surveillance tool following curative-intent hepatectomy. Larger-scale studies are needed to confirm this utility and investigate additional applications in HCC patients, including the potential for prophylactic treatment in patients with residual TMB after resection.