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Risk factors associated with delay in diagnosis and mortality in patients with COVID-19 in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Alexandre de Fátima Cobre, Beatriz Böger, Mariana Millan Fachi, Raquel de Oliveira Vilhena, Eric Luiz Domingos, Fernanda S. Tonin, Roberto Pontarolo

2020Ciência & Saúde Coletiva53 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

We investigated the predictors of delay in the diagnosis and mortality of patients with COVID-19 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. A cohort of 3,656 patients were evaluated (Feb-Apr 2020) and patients' sociodemographic characteristics, and social development index (SDI) were used as determinant factors of diagnosis delays and mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, time-dependent Cox regression models, and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted. The median time from symptoms onset to diagnosis was eight days (interquartile range [IQR] 7.23-8.99 days). Half of the patients recovered during the evaluated period, and 8.3% died. Mortality rates were higher in men. Delays in diagnosis were associated with male gender (p = 0.015) and patients living in low SDI areas (p < 0.001). The age groups statistically associated with death were: 70-79 years, 80-89 years, and 90-99 years. Delays to diagnosis greater than eight days were also risk factors for death. Delays in diagnosis and risk factors for death from COVID-19 were associated with male gender, age under 60 years, and patients living in regions with lower SDI. Delays superior to eight days to diagnosis increased mortality rates.

Topics & Concepts

Interquartile rangeMedicineLogistic regressionDemographyProportional hazards modelCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)CohortMultivariate analysisMortality rateMultivariate statisticsInternal medicinePediatricsDiseaseSociologyMathematicsStatisticsInfectious disease (medical specialty)COVID-19 Clinical Research StudiesCOVID-19 and healthcare impactsCOVID-19 epidemiological studies