A blood-based biomarker workflow for optimal tau-PET referral in memory clinic settings
Wagner S. Brum, Nicholas Cullen, Joseph Therriault, Shorena Janelidze, Nesrine Rahmouni, Jenna Stevenson, Stijn Servaes, Andréa Lessa Benedet, Eduardo R. Zimmer, Erik Stomrud, Sebastian Palmqvist, Henrik Zetterberg, Giovanni B. Frisoni, Nicholas J. Ashton, Kaj Blennow, Niklas Mattsson, Pedro Rosa‐Neto, Oskar Hansson
Abstract
Blood-based biomarkers for screening may guide tau positrion emissition tomography (PET) scan referrals to optimize prognostic evaluation in Alzheimer's disease. Plasma Aβ42/Aβ40, pTau181, pTau217, pTau231, NfL, and GFAP were measured along with tau-PET in memory clinic patients with subjective cognitive decline, mild cognitive impairment or dementia, in the Swedish BioFINDER-2 study (n = 548) and in the TRIAD study (n = 179). For each plasma biomarker, cutoffs were determined for 90%, 95%, or 97.5% sensitivity to detect tau-PET-positivity. We calculated the percentage of patients below the cutoffs (who would not undergo tau-PET; "saved scans") and the tau-PET-positivity rate among participants above the cutoffs (who would undergo tau-PET; "positive predictive value"). Generally, plasma pTau217 performed best. At the 95% sensitivity cutoff in both cohorts, pTau217 resulted in avoiding nearly half tau-PET scans, with a tau-PET-positivity rate among those who would be referred for a scan around 70%. And although tau-PET was strongly associated with subsequent cognitive decline, in BioFINDER-2 it predicted cognitive decline only among individuals above the referral cutoff on plasma pTau217, supporting that this workflow could reduce prognostically uninformative tau-PET scans. In conclusion, plasma pTau217 may guide selection of patients for tau-PET, when accurate prognostic information is of clinical value.