Methodology for the Differential Classification of Dengue and Chikungunya According to the PAHO 2022 Diagnostic Guide
Wilson Arrubla-Hoyos, Jorge Gómez Gómez, Emiro De-La-Hoz-Franco
Abstract
Arboviruses such as dengue, Zika, and chikungunya present similar symptoms in the early stages, which complicates their differential and timely diagnosis. In 2022, the PAHO published a guide to address this challenge. This study proposes a methodological framework that transforms qualitative information into quantitative information, establishing differential weights in relation to symptoms according to the medical evidence and the GRADE scale based on recommendation 1 of the said guide. To achieve this, common variables from the dataset were identified using the PAHO guide, and quality rules were established. A linear interpolation function was then parameterised to assign weights to the symptoms according to the evidence. Machine learning was used to compare the different models, achieving 99% accuracy compared with 79% without the methodology. This proposal represents a significant advancement, allowing the direct application of the PAHO recommendations to the dataset and improving the differential classification of arboviruses.