Inferring high-resolution traffic accident risk maps based on satellite imagery and GPS trajectories
Songtao He, Mohammad Amin Sadeghi, Sanjay Chawla, Mohammad Reza Alizadeh, Hari Balakrishnan, Samuel Madden
Abstract
Traffic accidents cost about 3% of the world’s GDP and are the leading cause of death in children and young adults. Accident risk maps are useful tools to monitor and mitigate accident risk. We present a technique to generate high-resolution (5 meters) accident risk maps. At this high resolution, accidents are sparse and risk estimation is limited by bias-variance trade-off. Prior accident risk maps either estimate low-resolution maps that are of low utility (high bias), or they use frequency-based estimation techniques that inaccurately predict where accidents actually happen (high variance). To improve this trade-off, we use an end-to-end deep architecture that can input satellite imagery, GPS trajectories, road maps and the history of accidents. Our evaluation on four metropolitan areas in the US with a total area of 7,488 km <sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> shows that our technique outperform prior work in terms of resolution and accuracy.