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A Value Sensitive Scenario Planning Method for Adaptation to Uncertain Future Sea Level Rise

Anna Wedin, Per Wikman–Svahn

2021Science and Engineering Ethics16 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Value sensitive design (VSD) aims at creating better technology based on social and ethical values. However, VSD has not been applied to long-term and uncertain future developments, such as societal planning for climate change. This paper describes a new method that combines elements from VSD with scenario planning. The method was developed for and applied to a case study of adaptation to sea level rise (SLR) in southern Sweden in a series of workshops. The participants of the workshops found that the method provided a framework for discussing long-term planning, enabled identification of essential values, challenged established planning practices, helped find creative solutions, and served as a reminder that we do not know what will happen in the future. Finally, we reflect on the limitations of the method and suggest further research on how it can be improved for value sensitive design of adaptation measures to manage uncertain future sea level rise.

Topics & Concepts

Adaptation (eye)Value (mathematics)Climate change adaptationSea level riseClimate changeComputer scienceEnvironmental resource managementTerm (time)Identification (biology)Scenario planningProcess managementEnvironmental planningOperations researchManagement scienceRisk analysis (engineering)BusinessEnvironmental scienceEngineeringPsychologyMarketingMachine learningPhysicsBiologyQuantum mechanicsBotanyEcologyNeuroscienceSustainability and Climate Change Governancedemographic modeling and climate adaptation