Variability and changes in hydrological drought in the Volta Basin, West Africa
Solomon H. Gebrechorkos, Ming Pan, Peirong Lin, Daniela Anghileri, Nathan Forsythe, David Pritchard, Hayley J. Fowler, Emmanuel Obuobie, Deborah Darko, Justin Sheffield
Abstract
Volta River Basin, West Africa Hydrological droughts have a wide range of impacts on societies and economic sectors such as agriculture and energy production. Analysis of hydrological droughts helps better plan and manage water resources under global change. This study analyses the spatial and temporal variability of hydrological drought occurrence (duration and severity) in the Volta River basin during 1979–2013. We used the Variable Infiltration Capacity and vector-based routing (RAPID) models and high-resolution forcing data to simulate streamflow for 10300 river reaches. Drought duration and severity show high spatial variability and large differences between the three decades (1980 s, 1990 s and 2000 s). Droughts are more severe in larger catchments as the flows are generally higher. The trend analysis shows a general decreasing trend (up to 5% per event) in drought duration in the north-eastern and an increasing trend in southern parts of the basin. Drought severity shows an increasing and decreasing trend (up to ± 20%) in south and north part of the basin, respectively. Daily streamflow has a maximum correlation (up to 0.78) with upstream precipitation for the previous 30-days with a clear signal of propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought with an average lag-time of two weeks. The results indicate the need to consider site-specific and adaptive drought management measures to minimize the impacts.