Association of graft survival with tacrolimus exposure and late intra‐patient tacrolimus variability in pediatric and young adult renal transplant recipients—an international CTS registry analysis
Annika Gold, Burkhard Tönshoff, Bernd Döhler, Caner Süsal
Abstract
Adolescent and young adult age is a high-risk window with an alarmingly increased likelihood of premature kidney graft loss due to immunological rejection. Using the large database of the Collaborative Transplant Study, we analyzed whether a more intense and less variable exposure to tacrolimus could counteract this young age-related enhanced immunoreactivity. Kidney graft recipients aged 12-23 years (n = 964) with a 1-year tacrolimus trough level between 4.0 and 10.9 ng/ml had a 5-year graft survival rate of 85.1%, significantly better than the poor 66.1% rate in patients with a trough level below 4.0 ng/ml who showed a 2.38-fold increased risk of graft loss in the multivariable analysis (P < 0.001). This association was not apparent in young children aged 0-11 years (n = 455) and less pronounced in adults aged 24-34 years (n = 1466). However, an intra-patient variability of tacrolimus (IPV) trough level ≥1.5 at post-transplant years 1 and 2 was associated with an increased graft loss risk in both 12- to 23-year-old and 0- to 11-year-old recipients (P < 0.001 and P = 0.045). Patients with high IPV made up as many as 30% of kidney graft recipients, indicating that a more intense and less variable exposure to tacrolimus could improve graft survival strongly in this high-risk group.