Data-Driven-Based Stochastic Robust Optimization for a Virtual Power Plant With Multiple Uncertainties
Fang Fang, Song-Yuan Yu, Xiuli Xin
Abstract
Virtual power plant (VPP) has gradually become a key technology to the increasing penetration of renewable energy. The uncertainty and variability of renewable energy and load demand pose significant challenges to the efficiency and stability of VPP's operation. In this paper, a data-driven two-stage stochastic robust optimization (SRO) scheduling model is proposed for a VPP considering wind power, solar power, load demand, and market price uncertainties. The objective is to maximize the profit of the VPP in the energy market and minimize the total system cost of the VPP in the reserve market under the worst-case realization of the uncertainties. The Dirichlet process mixture model (DPMM) and variational inference algorithm are employed for constructing the data-driven uncertainty ambiguity set considering the correlations among multiple uncertainties. The tailored column-and-constraint generation algorithm is developed to solve the SRO model iteratively by reformulating the second stage with the application of the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions. Results from a case study illustrate the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed model.