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Comparing Bitcoin's Prediction Model Using GRU, RNN, and LSTM by Hyperparameter Optimization Grid Search and Random Search

Nurhayati Buslim, Imam Lutfi Rahmatullah, Bayu Setyawan, Aryajaya Alamsyah

20212021 9th International Conference on Cyber and IT Service Management (CITSM)39 citationsDOI

Abstract

Being the most expensive and most popular cryptocurrency, both the business world and the research community have started to study bitcoin development. However, due to the absence of most government regulation, the price of bitcoin has become uncontrollable, resulting in frequent large fluctuations. Using a dataset from 17 August 2017 to 13 April 2021 the GRU, RNN, and LSTM methods will be compared and implement Grid Search and Random Search to find out which one will do better in this research. Those three methods are considered to be the best method to get a prediction, but it also depends on the model that computer could have. The best result is the GRU with Grid Search method with MAE (Mean Absolute Error) of training 0.0043 and testing about 0.0594.

Topics & Concepts

Hyperparameter optimizationHyperparameterComputer scienceGridRandom searchCryptocurrencyArtificial intelligenceGovernment (linguistics)Machine learningAlgorithmMathematicsWorld Wide WebSupport vector machineLinguisticsPhilosophyGeometryData Mining and Machine Learning ApplicationsStock Market Forecasting MethodsCurrency Recognition and Detection