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Does Child Marriage Matter for Growth?

Pritha Mitra, Eric M. Pondi Endengle, Malika Pant, Luiz F. Almeida

2020IMF Working Paper11 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Global attention to ending child marriage and its socio-economic consequences is gaining momentum. Ending child marriage is not only critical from a development perspective but it also has important economic implications. This paper is the first to quantify the relationship between child marriage and economic growth. Applying a simultaneous equations model, the analysis shows that eliminating child marriage would significantly improve economic growth—if child marriage were ended today, long-term annual per capita real GDP growth in emerging and developing countries would increase by 1.05 percentage points. The results also provide insights on policy prioritization in developing comprehensive strategies to end child marriage. For example, the strong interdependent relationship between education and child marriage suggests that education policies and the budgets that support them should place greater emphasis on reducing child marriage.

Topics & Concepts

InterdependencePerspective (graphical)PrioritizationMomentum (technical analysis)EconomicsDeveloping countryPer capitaChild marriageChild supportChild developmentDevelopment economicsEconomic growthPsychologyPolitical scienceSociologyDevelopmental psychologyDemographyLawComputer scienceManagement scienceFinanceArtificial intelligencePopulationGlobal Maternal and Child HealthPoverty, Education, and Child WelfareMigration and Labor Dynamics
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