Tracking Soiling Losses: Assessment, Uncertainty, and Challenges in Mapping
Leonardo Micheli, Greg P. Smestad, João Gabriel Bessa, Matthew Muller, Eduardo F. Férnández, Florencia Almonacid
Abstract
Several models have been presented in the recent years to estimate the magnitude of soiling from environmental parameters. However, these models are often based on data from a single site, or at most a few sites, and only limited data are, as of yet, available on their uncertainty. The present work aims to present a first comparative analysis of soiling estimation models, using measured soiling data from various locations in the USA. The study also investigates the impact that the source of the input data can have on the estimation. The results show that the model selection is only one of the factors that can affect the evaluation. Indeed, the use of satellite-derived or ground-mounted particulate matter data can lead to the generation of different soiling maps, with factors greater than 2× between the modeled losses. The current challenges and the unanswered questions that can bias soiling estimation are discussed. Additionally, potential research directions to improve the quality of soiling modeling are identified.