Effects of urbanization on extreme precipitation based on Weather Research and Forecasting model: A case study of heavy rainfall in Beijing
Yujia Pei, Jiahong Liu, Jia Wang, Chao Mei, Lirong Dong, Hao Wang
Abstract
Beijing Urbanization has altered the processes of the hydrological cycle in cities, further affecting their precipitation extremes. This study utilizes Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) to investigate the sensitivity of extreme precipitation to urbanization, exemplified by analyzing the "23·7" extraordinary rainstorm in Beijing.Two comparative urban development scenarios (1980 and 2020) were designed, using the real underlying surface as the static geographic data for the WRF model. Furthermore, the reliability of the model results was validated through an analysis of the extreme precipitation event that occurred in July 2021, reinforcing the findings of this study. The simulated precipitation is well represented by using the underlying surface data post-urbanization. Furthermore, the study reveals that urbanization has augmented the total rainfall of two extreme precipitation events in Beijing: the "23·7" event and the event on July 12, 2021. Specifically, there was an increase of 19.1 mm and 7.1 mm, respectively, in the rainfall within the core urban area during these two extreme precipitation events, when comparing the underlying surface scenarios from 1980 to 2020. Analyzing the impact mechanism, weakened horizontal winds in the urban core prolong water vapor residence, altering land surface energy balance to boost temperature and convection, both contributing to urban-induced precipitation increase. • Taking the “23·7” extraordinary rainstorm in Beijing as an example, discuss urbanization's impact on extreme precipitation. • This extreme precipitation was simulated by comparing two urban development scenarios (1980 and 2020). • After urbanization, the rainfall in the core area of the urban during this rainstorm increased by about 19 mm.