AI-Driven Energy Forecasting Enhancing Smart Grid Efficiency with LSTM Networks
Vincent Omollo Nyangaresi
Abstract
Energy consumption forecasting is an important key to smart grid, energy stability, and sustainable energy development. With the adaptation of the new energy system with a high level of renewable energy the forecast of energy demand becomes more complicated because of variability and nonlinearity in time series. The forecasting complexities in each of these environments are discussed and this study is focused on the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) particularly the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. LSTM are especially appropriate for time series forecasting because the function can recognize long-time dependencies for complex non-linear relations between given data sets. Compared with such statistical models as ARIMA, LSTMs perform much better in terms of irregularity inherent to the fluctuations in energy consumption trends. The work also combines the energy data collected from the real-world energy systems and environmental factors such as weather conditions, time difference, and the effects of holidays on energy consumption. To compare the LSTM model to some baseline methods, a large number of experiments were performed. Forecasting accuracy was evaluated using Metrics including; MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MSE (Mean Squared Error), and R-squared. The results show that there is a massive enhancement in the prediction of reliability and present the fact that LSTM model can learn different and varying data streams. Furthermore, the study examines the impact of accurate energy forecasting in the deployment of renewable energy into smart grid, energy management and low operational expenses. This study therefore emphasizes on the impact of such AI-based models as LSTM in enhancing a smart grid technology for efficient energy control. The study presents promising results that will foster and inform further research on the use of AI technologies for tackling new emergent complexities in sustainable energy systems.