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Global impacts of recent Southern Ocean cooling

Sarah M. Kang, Yue Yu, Clara Deser, Xiyue Zhang, In‐Sik Kang, Sun‐Seon Lee, Keith B. Rodgers, Paulo Ceppi

2023Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences99 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Since the beginning of the satellite era, Southern Ocean sea surface temperatures (SSTs) have cooled, despite global warming. While observed Southern Ocean cooling has previously been reported to have minimal impact on the tropical Pacific, the efficiency of this teleconnection has recently shown to be mediated by subtropical cloud feedbacks that are highly model-dependent. Here, we conduct a coupled model intercomparison of paired ensemble simulations under historical radiative forcing: one with freely evolving SSTs and the other with Southern Ocean SST anomalies constrained to follow observations. We reveal a global impact of observed Southern Ocean cooling in the model with stronger (and more realistic) cloud feedbacks, including Antarctic sea-ice expansion, southeastern tropical Pacific cooling, northward-shifted Hadley circulation, Aleutian low weakening, and North Pacific warming. Our results therefore suggest that observed Southern Ocean SST decrease might have contributed to cooler conditions in the eastern tropical Pacific in recent decades.

Topics & Concepts

ClimatologyTeleconnectionSea surface temperatureSubtropicsEnvironmental scienceRadiative forcingWalker circulationForcing (mathematics)OceanographyClimate modelOcean heat contentTropical Eastern PacificHadley cellPacific oceanGeologyGeneral Circulation ModelClimate changeEl Niño Southern OscillationFisheryBiologyClimate variability and modelsOceanographic and Atmospheric ProcessesArctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Global impacts of recent Southern Ocean cooling | Litcius